F.T.T.W.T.K. Update

(For Those That Want To Know)

As I iterated in my prior observations: These patterns have a propensity for being called too early, where they seem to be exuding all the requisite characteristics, then, suddenly, can reverse on a dime. This appears to be doing the same, once again, ad nauseam. i.e., We’re far beyond the point of calculating any reasonable odds and remain in fantasy land where .0000001 odds of something happening is the norm. It’s down right laughable (actually ridiculous) and has been for quite some time.

So with the above said here’s the same chart with updated notations. As of this writing it would appear the “markets” have assumed following a well defined channel. For how long is anyone’s guess. Where it goes from here, again, is anyone’s guess. But guessing is all there is, because at some point, even .000000001 chances of something bad happening in Hades eventually does.

However, at this point – The “Magic Money Tree” continues to bear its fruit.

Below is that chart with the most recent movements zoomed in. To wit:

(Chart Source)

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.

F.T.T.W.T.K.

(For Those That Want To Know) what I’m watching.

On my show, Tuesday, I went into a bit of “technical analysis talk” describing what I was watching form (e.g., using the pennant analogy) and the probable odds of it resolving one way or the other. As of Wednesday evening it appears to be following precisely the direction I anticipated. However, with that said, let me also make the case that although these types of patterns have a very high degree of signalling a reversal, they also have just as high of a degree of being called too early, and can reverse on a dime till they finally resolve one way or another.

The only reason why I’m even putting this up for your viewing pleasure is that the entirety of the mainstream business/financial media is knocking over their mothers and grandmothers to get to the nearest camera, microphone or keyboard to proclaim: “This is just the next in the perpetual line of eternal BTFD (buy the f’n dip) moments. So Buy, buy, buy – then buy some more!! Because, the Fed’s got your back.”

Maybe it is, maybe it isn’t. Only time will tell. But for what it’s worth there still are things that are worth paying attention to from a technical viewpoint, and this is one of them.

I’m putting it up because this would be considered the very, and by this I mean just that, very first initial stages of what could become something very consequential based on other readings concerning this “Alice In Wonderland” imitating “market.”

Currently it appears everyone is “all in.” Yet, if this thing just hiccups the wrong way things could change direction with a speed that few care to remember. Here’s just one example of a possible hiccup…

17 States have now signed on to the case that looks more and more like it’s going up to the Supreme Court to challenge the election results. What this really challenges, as far as Wall Street is concerned, will be whether or not any stimulus will be forthcoming – and soon.

For without it?

Well, we’ll just have to wait and let the “market” tell us that answer.

Here’s the aforementioned chart. To wit:

(Chart Source)

© 2020 Mark St. Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.

“Why Does God Need A Starship?”

Before everyone gets their knickers in a twist, let me explain precisely what the aforementioned headline relates to…

As I’ve stated on my show, some get their views on the workings of others and/or universe from such classics as Platonism, Stoicism, Shakespeare’s classics and more. And yet, although I have read many of these myself (and more) I get the gist of what all these great classics tried to put into workable means in both pop culture, as well as music. i.e., All kinds of movies and television, along with a smörgåsbord of music examples anywhere from (but not limited to) John Denver to Metallica.

In other words I, like many, see what these forerunners over the millenniums refer to as “truth,” everywhere. And there is no greater consistent truth proven over the ages, than the lengths many will go in order to deceive another for their own means.

The now, most overused, contemporary example of this would be from “The Matrix” (1999 Warner Bros.) Where the character “Morpheus” (Laurence Fishburne) offers “Neo” (Keanu Reeves) the choice of the red or blue pill. i.e., You want the truth? Or do you want to stay in fantasy land?

Your choice.

However, there is another sci-fi classic that runs much along this same form of questioning and reasoning for truth. That other would be “Star Trek V: The Final Frontier” (1989 -Paramount Pictures) with the one and only captain, “James T. Kirk” played by William Shatner.

The reason why the above is germane to today is for what was cited in the current lawsuits filed by Sydney Powell and Lin Wood in Georgia, while also being reiterated during the hearings by Mr. Giuliani in Pennsylvania on Wednesday in regards to: voting.

Regardless of what side of the aisle you’re on, whether you’re a republican, democrat, independent, what ever. There’s a very innocuous sounding term in today’s day and age that appeared to roll past the eyes and ears of most everyone that believe they’re paying attention.

It is a term so ubiquitous in today’s nomenclature for how we deal with the world via our connected devices and more, we just accept it as a way of life. In some ways it is very necessary. In others – it is anathema to what what we believe is: choice.

That term is: algorithm.

We all basically understand what this term implies or means intuitively. i.e., It takes this, that and another thing from our actions past and present, jumbles them all together with some form of brain-hurting math (aka code) then spits out some form of predictive answer or logical next step. Just one example: as you’ve shopped on-line these algorithms are seen in real time as your “recommendations.”

So why does this matter? Simple…

In the Star Trek V movie there is a quest to not just know “God,” but to actually venture to where he is and meet him. This quest is put forth by what can only be called “a converted religious zealot,” which just happens to be “Spock’s” (Leonard Nimoy) half brother “Sybok” (Laurence Luckinbill). But it is “Dr. McCoy’s” (DeForest Kelley) portrayal of the ever gobsmacked unquestioning believer in the “almighty” that takes center stage and germane to my premise.

All during this film everyone is on the edge of “believing.” If they are are not already in the camp with Sybok (i.e., unquestioning true believers) they are torn between being agnostic and wanting to believe, because Sybok seems to possess such unquestionable truth and insight. Even Spock and the Captain are torn. But McCoy is, as they say, “all in.”

Then the moment comes to where they appear to be face to face with the almighty. And in true Captain Kirk form – he begins questioning “God” for what seems lost on everyone else is not lost on a captain when it comes to his ship. e.g., “God” asks them to bring the Enterprise closer so that he can use it to transport himself from his current location, which brings us to the crux of all this when Kirk says “Excuse me, but what does God need with a starship?”

It’s in that moment you understand why paying attention followed with logical thought processes is of paramount importance, for most will just reflexively answer dutifully subservient to perceived authority or, will willingly allow the clouding of judgement as to believe preconditioned thoughts or constructs. And anything approaching the threshold of what we collectively call “religious feelings” most times falls into this category.

This is seen when, in classic “Bones” fashion, he snaps at Kirk saying “Jim, you don’t ask the almighty for his ID!” And yet, when it comes to the sanctity of both his ship and safety of its crew, to Captain James T. Kirk, even the “almighty” will have to address his concerns.

Which brings me back to the overarching dilemma that was exposed in the recent court filings in Georgia and the opening arguments with Pennsylvania’s legislature, which is…

Why does a voting machine need an algorithm?

A voting machine is a 1+1=2 tabulating machine performing the most basic math known.

Again: why does a voting machine need an algebraic, or other complex math functioning algorithm to tabulate 1+1 math?

Unless?

I’ll let you decide, but much like Kirk in this scene with the aforementioned, unquestionable “almighty.” It should not be lost on those that feel the sanctity of the “one person – one vote” is at stake.

Currently the entirety of the so-called “smart crowd” is acting like Sybok, enabled by the mainstream media defending their infatuation much like McCoy.

People paying attention, whether left, right, independent or whatever listened to, or read, Wednesday’s accusations into possible voting misdeeds and upon hearing or seeing the word “algorithm” immediately began querying in their minds, channeling Kirk as he asked…

Why does God need a starship? Why does a voting machine need an algorithm?

This is the definitive question that needs to be addressed to those that not only still believe, but as well as those that still want to.

Being agnostic, simply, will not suffice.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

A Treacherous Celebration Trend

When I originally typed the above headline the word I used was treasonous, not treacherous. The only reason why I changed it was I decided to include two other examples that make up the implied “trend.” Although they may not be as classifiable as the first, they are bringing to light for all intents and purposes an alarming situation that can’t be ignored by any self-respecting person of law, order and trust.

Let me be clear: This has nothing to do with party affiliation. This has everything to do with what we believe is the system of government we live under – and – do we have laws, or do we not? Period.

Here’s the first…

Regardless if you like the President or not, it doesn’t matter. In his position (again, I don’t care who, this applies to all of them) the president is the “Commander in Chief,” directly in charge of all military personnel and where they are deployed.

That is not an arguable statement. That is the primary job and he/she has unquestionable authority, full stop.

To intentionally do anything contrary to what the president says, or, to mislead him/her by intentional omission or some of form of skullduggery, where the positioning of troops in harms way could result in death or potential international fallout. It would (and should) be called: Treason.

And yet… To wit:

James Jeffrey—who is retiring from his posts as the Special Representative for Syria Engagement and Special Envoy to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS — reportedly said that “shell games” have been used to avoid telling U.S. leaders the true number of American troops in Syria.

“We were always playing shell games to not make clear to our leadership how many troops we had there,” Jeffrey said, according to Defense One

Jeffrey reportedly said that when President Donald Trump was interested in withdrawing from Syria, arguments against a withdrawal were presented to the commander in chief.

“What Syria withdrawal? There was never a Syria withdrawal,” Jeffrey told the outlet. “When the situation in northeast Syria had been fairly stable after we defeated ISIS, [Trump] was inclined to pull out. In each case, we then decided to come up with five better arguments for why we needed to stay. And we succeeded both times. That’s the story.”

Alex Nitzberg – JustTheNews.com Nov. 15, 2020

Now some might be thinking it’s more sedition than treason. Fair point, but to me, it’s not far enough away from my original premise to argue other than semantics. The reason being is that if those troops are found to be aiding another countries position, whether intentional or not, than what is transpiring by dint is something akin to aiding another country without the president’s knowledge. i.e., Someone is subverting the president’s will and orders via using U.S. troops to fight their own scheme for war that may involve aiding another country. Again, whether voluntary, involuntary, or not. It doesn’t matter. That decision resides solely with the “Commander In Chief.” Once again, period, full stop.

The idea that some “Envoy” appointed by the president feels comfortable not only bragging about such a clearly troubling revelation, rather, it was done openly bragging and on the record as to be printed in the press! This is what I find so shocking. It should also shock anyone else, regardless of political affiliation, not to mention anyone with a son, daughter or other family member serving.

At a minimum, if what this man says is even partially true: He should be arrested by whatever the proper authorities and face trial in either a military or civilian court with the possibility of prison time, financial litigation or both for any military service members death or injury.

To me: This is not only repugnant, but way beyond the point of dangerous. I am of the opinion this can not be left to stand unanswered.

I said there were two other subjects I wanted to add, so here they are. The first…

It has now become apparent that indeed the Pfizer™ announcement was held back till after the election as to not give Mr. Trump any credit before the election. Again, no matter which side of the aisle you’re on, this is a despicable act by a corporation that was paid $2Billion to fast track a vaccine while also removing other barriers to speed up that process known as “Operation Warp Speed.”

The damning issue here that’s been reported is not only did the company say it was not, but then had to “clarify” their statement (i.e., see definition of: got caught lying) to say that in fact, yes they were.

Here’s how even the very unfriendly to the Trump administration NYT™ called it out. To wit:

Pfizer has distanced itself from Mr. Trump and Operation Warp Speed. In an interview on Sunday, Kathrin Jansen, a senior vice president and the head of vaccine research and development at Pfizer, said, “We were never part of the Warp Speed,” adding, “we have never taken any money from the U.S. government, or from anyone.”

On Monday, a spokeswoman for Pfizer clarified that the company is part of Operation Warp Speed as a supplier of a potential coronavirus vaccine.

Although it’s true that Pfizer and BioNTech had been working on a vaccine all year before the companies struck their deal with the U.S. government in July, a $1.95 billion deal is nevertheless a significant incentive to keep going.

“Was the Pfizer vaccine part of…” NYT Nov. 10, 2020

Now the above can be regarded as stupid people doing stupid things because they think they’re so smart and will benefit both politically and monetarily by doing so. Or, said differently: They’re shameless liars that’ll do or say anything for a buck if they think it benefits them. This class of “executives” is some of the worst.

Think I’m being harsh? Fair point. Did you see the CEO of said Pfizer sold $5.6Million worth of stock the same day they unveiled the results? But not to look into this because this is now being argued as it was all set up ahead of time. i.e., see definition of “coincidence” in Merriam Websters™, I’m sure they’ve updated the definition by now from scandalous to coincidence.

And since we’re on the idea of timing. Let’s not forget the good doctor that changes his prescription for Covid about as often as I change my socks. e.g., Dr. Fauci.

There was a time where one could argue that “When the facts changed, he changed.” as one would reasonably argue was a good trait in any doctor. But this guy has now moved into the outright political partizan hack. And as of this moment I don’t know if the good doctor himself shouldn’t be brought up on similar charges as I alluded to in the opening segments. The reason?

This man has all but single-handedly given aid and comfort to the ludicrous idea that the U.S. economy was his play toy to experiment on. i.e., Mask on, Mask off (Sung to the “Clap on, clap off!”® jingle) followed with “shut down, open up.” (sure, it can be sung that way to.)

But that’s not the insidious part.

It has now been reported as the same Dr. Fauci is just about trampling over anyone in the way of him mugging a camera, microphone or keyboard to tell everyone that even with a vaccine – we’re basically all going to have to be under “his” guidance indefinitely. i.e., Mask on, social distance, probably indefinitely.

But take comfort in the idea as to forget about any of the economic pain – for when it’s completely dead under this man’s guidance – then we can all be happy together in poverty. Except him you see. He’ll still have all his, maybe even more. But then again, isn’t that they way it always seems lately? But I digress.

I find it quite telling as it has now been reported everywhere that it is this same Dr. Fauci that’s praising the incoming Biden team while bashing Mr. Trump (as he still serves under Mr. Trump) that received the Pfizer vaccine news before any of the current (i.e., Trump administration) government health officials. That would include him, would it not?

And now that a supposed “vaccine” that was both developed and paid for under the current administration, that he still works for (however you clarify “work.”) You would think this would make someone like him that was tasked with helping bring this to realization would be furious that everyone involved basically went around both him and the president, no?

No. And that tells one all they need to know. He’s a political, partizan hack with a medical degree. Again, to me, there no difference between him and a snake-oil selling witch doctor, because both of them have the same inherent feature…

Taking either of their prescriptive methods can garner the same results: Death of the body, or an entire economy. Diagnosing which is worse is just a matter for semantics, because the results are the same.

To reiterate: It doesn’t matter if you’re a republican, democrat, independent, penguin, whatever. This has to do with what’s right and what’s wrong. And this is far beyond just the classification for what’s wrong with things – this is now off the charts horrendous behaviour that needs to be called out.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Maybe It’s Just Me, But…

Call me a conspiracy theorist if you like (oh wait, the entirety of the mainstream media has already done that so, never-mind) however, there seems to be a pattern re-emerging that’s a bit difficult to just simply ignore as random.

It seems to be just a bit particular that the moment any “not government approved protest or celebration” takes place is precisely the same time a sudden “We’re all going to die because Covid cases are on the rise! So get ready to shelter in place, close everything down and more!!” appears. All this because some doctor that’s changed his or her position more times on Covid’s lethality than I change my socks is on the television saying so. (Paging, Dr. Fauci…)

For me: This is all getting just a bit too hard to swallow anymore.

You’re seeing it in France, U.K., Hong Kong, U.S., __________(fill in your own here) at precisely the same time, when only days prior, many of these same places were returning to some idea that some sort of normalcy was right around the corner. Maybe a vaccine? Oh, yeah! Looks like we got that!! Oh wait, that now seems to indicate lock downs more substantial, and for longer, starting at any moment.

See what I mean?

It’s not like I’m saying Covid is some form of hoax. I get it. However, as I keep reminding people I have discussions with pertaining to the lock-downs and the survival of their businesses in the wake of all this medical tyranny. The same question keeps coming up again, again, again and again. And that is…

Where are all the mass graves, 24hr running crematories, bodies in the streets and more that this type of economic suicide was told/sold to us, which warranted such a response to begin with?

And now we’re being ordered to expect we are more than likely to do it again?

Something stinks – and it ain’t just the laundry.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

F.T.T.W.T.K.

(For Those That Want To Know) what I’m watching.

As I’ve stated on the show these past few days when it comes to the “markets,” I no longer have any interest in trying to anticipate, speculate or any other analysis pertaining to them. The reason is pretty simple as I’ve now seemed to have explained ad nauseam:

There is nothing left to explain except they are in fantasy land, and will remain there, until they are not. Period.

Yep, that’s really about it. Personally, I’m actually quite relieved, however, not for the reasons most might think. In actuality the more these “markets” remain in “Loonyville” the more problems it’ll cause once the hopium crashes. But until then?

It is what it is – because – it is what it is. End of story.

Now for those that might be wondering what will get my attention drawn back, here’s an updated chart of the one I’ve basically been using that I’ve cleaned up, re-annotated, and put a few different lines or boxes. It basically speaks for itself. To wit:

(Chart Source)

If the “market” remains above that box between now and the end of the year, all I can say is: Enjoy the ride. Why?

The bastions of hopium, lunacy and fantasy have coalesced into quite the reality altering cocktail that would make any of the characters in Wonderland ask “Geez…what are they smoking?”

Or as any of my favorite Looney Tune® characters might say, until then…

“That’s all folks!”

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.

When Hair Splitting Is Warranted

There’s an old saying that goes along the lines of “Not to be splitting hairs, but…” Its intent is to bring back into the conversation a bit of reality to those that may be getting ahead of themselves. In other words – yes, it sure does look that way, but it is not finalized, as of yet. e.g., U.S. presidential election.

A general comparison would be a deal made between two parties, yet, the contract has yet to be signed. i.e., It is not a “done deal.” Anything can happen, and usually does. Here’s an example…

If you go around saying you just purchased the Brooklyn Bridge, even if you gave the other party the cash in advance, you’re going to look pretty foolish if you start constructing toll booths to enhance your “purchase” before any legal deed is officially signed and filed.

Which brings me to today’s splitting of hairs.

Currently Mr. Biden is the presumptive winner of the presidential election – not the declared, certified, legal winner, again, as of yet. Some may think this semantics, but I remind you to go back to my Brooklyn Bridge analogy, because it fits. i.e., Until you have the deed – you’ve got squat. Regardless of what you or anyone else claims. Period.

The issue here is that it’s dangerous to go about articulating exactly what you’re going to do, along with your now presumed powers to enforce them, and not yet have said “deed” in hand. People, businesses, governments et. al. will react and move in accordance to what they believe is an assumptive reality based on the illusion “Well, if he’s saying it, it must be so!” Even if it’s not.

Here’s why I’m saying this…

Currently, Mr. Biden himself has taken the notion that the media is the arbiter of the election, not the certification process by the electors as mandated by the constitution. He may very well be the “president elect” after the process of legal challenges run their course. But (and it’s a very big but) until then he is “The Presumptive President Elect.” Not the other.

The idea of the “President Elect” going around making statements about how legislation and more was going to be enacted as if they were the current president was never seen until Mr Obama in what, at the time, seemed like an orchestrated rush to nullify then president, G.W. Bush.

Every time Mr. Bush had a press conference (which was a lot because of the then financial crisis) Mr. Obama made one with a matching podium and presidential seal. The only difference was if you looked close you would see the word “elect” was inserted.

Never before was anything like that seen. The only difference between then and now is Mr. Obama was the certified winner, not presumptive. And as long as that was the case, even if it was unseemly, one could still argue that he had the right. Mr. Biden as of this moment does not. And it’s not just unseemly, I believe, it’s downright dangerous to claim to the world at large you are the declared, certified winner of the most powerful office in the world – and yet there’s no signed deal.

Again, you can be republican, democrat, independent, penguin, whatever. It doesn’t matter. This is not the time to be playing “Fake it till you make it.” And right now to claim it while the process is still playing out is not just wrong, but as I said: outright dangerous.

Here’s why I make the following argument. To wit: (non-working screen shot)

(Non working screenshot via Twitter™)

As you can clearly see in the lower right hand corner it states “Office of the President Elect” and is now present everywhere Mr. Biden makes a statement. Again, you may think I’m splitting hairs, but to that I would ask only one further question…

I still have some wonderful ocean front property in KY I’d love to let you take off my hands super, super cheap. Cash only because it’s such a great deal.

Interested?

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

When Credibility Crumbles

I would imagine many are being inundated with requests from friends and family to explain to them just what is going on in regards to the presidential election here in the U.S. For those that want to know how I’m viewing it, as well as answering, here you go. To wit:

Whether you’re a Democrat, Republican, hate Trump, love Biden or vice versa all I’ll ask you to consider is this: This is the same mainstream media that declared to the world, for four years, they had proof that the president was in collusion with Russia. And when it came time to prove it – they were proven to have not a shred. And now it is this same media claiming it is they that have the unquestionable authority to state who is president before the actual lawful process concludes – regardless of the results.

They can declare all they want, but anyone with more than two brain cells knows this type of declaration making is not only fools folly, but outright dangerous to any remaining credibility of said press. That is…

If there is any at all.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr