Website Updates and Changes

Just a quick note to alert users the website is now undergoing both front-end and back-end changes and updates. Please pardon any glitches that will inevitably arise during the process over the next week or so.

Getting the formulation just right is the key. Thanks in advance for your patience.

(Latest posts are shown below)

A Curious Dichotomy

At this moment in history one has to be overly-cautious when expressing anything concerning the political. However, from a purely observational standpoint, through a business focused lens, I believe I can express the following without throwing myself into the quagmire. The reason being, it’s a business centric observation overlayed on the political backdrop of the moment. i.e., it’s about the overlay – not the backdrop.

Again, to be clear, I always view I’m doing my “job” correctly when I discuss anything containing the political from a completely political-agnostic viewpoint. Meaning: I don’t profess, preach or try to declare or know which side is correct in any political argument. That’s not my “job.” What is my job on the show and throughout my writings, is what any political action is and means to business. For if I’m doing it correctly one shouldn’t be able to discern my own political leanings as many subscribers and others can attest to. (But that doesn’t mean I won’t be blamed or accused of exactly that! It’s been maddening at times.)

So, with the above stated, I would like to describe a curious dichotomy when it comes to many business leaders, thought leaders, elite business consultants and more that I both know, read or listen to for their viewpoints. Doesn’t mean I agree with all of them, but when it comes to their thought processes, I have respect and want to discern those observations on my own for either outright dismissal, agreement or something in-between.

Over the past week, however, there’s now a in sync chorus where prior there has been absolute silence. This is the dichotomy that I’m addressing.

Currently, many of these voices that proclaim to be “business leaders” or “leading edge” consultants, advisors and so forth seem to be running over anyone or anything (their own mothers included) to get on the closest camera, microphone or keyboard to spout their views and outright disdain for what happened in Washington, D.C.

Although I agree with the underlying argument for vehement denouncement (i.e., the storming of the Capital, destruction and so forth) what I find quite bemusing is how there has been absolute silence from this same cohort (both then and currently) when businesses were not only continually shut down, but many major city downtown centers and businesses were burned, looted and more for now nearly a year.

Again, to this I did not see, read or hear a word from this same so-called “business thought leader elite.” (and I was looking) The silence has been deafening. However, now? As I iterated prior – be careful you’re not between them and any media platform.

Some of these same “thought leaders” that I usually categorize as “peers” have also now resorted to absolute political bias and demagoguery. It’s absolutely stunning to me just how unfiltered the diatribe from this cadre has suddenly become. Again, I have or take no issue with their political vitriol, who knows, maybe I even agree with it. But that would and should be for private conversation and does not belong in the discourse using their “expert” platform for both reasoning and rationalization. It’s unethical if not just plain stupid. Here’s why…

Many of you that have been with me for awhile may remember me explaining why I can’t watch most of the mainstream business/financial media any longer using the example of one day watching a Bloomberg™ television broadcast, where the host (someone at that time I also had high respect for but then lost) told viewers that we had to listen to their guest’s opinion and summations not because they were well thought through, researched, etc. etc.. But for the solo fact: they were “a Democrat.”

Now before many of you recoil believing “Ah ha! See, I knew it, you must be a __________!” (fill in the blank) You would be wrong. For maybe I agreed with the discussion. But that’s missing the integral point, which is…

It doesn’t matter if I, or some “expert” is a democrat, republican, independent, penguin, what ever unless the discussion is politically based, which this one was not. And in suggesting so colored anything going forward as politically biased analysis, rather than an argument standing on its proper merits.

The idea that I (or you for that matter) need to listen and take one’s idea, or something other, based upon their political affiliation, rather than the basis of the argument – is absolutely preposterous.

Today, I feel as if I’m being bombarded with much the same, with the same resulting conclusions. Or said differently…

I now can’t look at many of my former “peers” and their analysis without first wondering: is this a conclusion of expertise or political bias? And when I need to start filtering such?

Their “Expert, Thought Leader” status, in my purview, is no longer expert thought or leading anything other than political bias pile on.

The truly disheartening aspect to the above, again, from my perspective, is much like I had to do with the mainstream business/financial media which was…

I can no longer look, read or listen to them in the same way, for their credibility, in many ways, has now been tarnished. All for the reason – they couldn’t keep their political bias in check.

This is a glaring example of when smart people do dumb things. And I know I’m not the only one that’s noticing. I believe there will be repercussions to both their credibility, as well as “personal brand” going forward.

Interesting times indeed.

© 2021 Mark St.Cyr

Charter Member Update

This is a special update notice to all current Charter Members to the MYTR Broadcast™.

We are pleased to announce that when your current membership ends in the coming weeks all you’ll need to do when prompted is re-up for another year and you’re in, just as you were prior. No credit card needed, no additional forms, no nothing.

And yes: Completely free of charge. That’s part of the benefit for being one, and thank you.

If you experience any issues just let us know through the support link in your account settings and we’ll find the issue and handle it.

All other subscribers have had their accounts updated internally as promised by Mark. And again to all of you, thank you.

We too are all looking forward to the relaunch as many of you. See you then!

~The Team at Media Partners

Watch For The Settling Dust

As I type this on Friday morning, before the U.S. “markets” resume to then close out the week. I would like to offer only a few words of caution to those that are seeing everything skyrocket to heights that would make an astronaut blush. And it is this…

Now that it’s been officially declared that Mr. Biden will assume the office of president on the 20th and Mr. Trump has for all intents and purposes delivered his version of a concession speech reinforcing that point, said “markets” are going to have to begin dealing (aka: re-balancing) with the now all but assurance that not only taxes are going to go up, and fast. But also, regulation and a whole lot more is going to go up, again, and fast. Not because I believe they will, but rather, that’s precisely what the incoming administration stated it would do.

If they follow through on one third of what they campaigned on (i.e., “Green New Deal” type legislation and so forth) the current “market” environment and/or its positioning is not. And “is not” should be interpreted as “bigly.”

We are currently awaiting the U.S. employment figures as I type, as well as, we are about to enter an earnings season that has all the pretense for revealing some stark holiday comparisons. Some (say in the online departments) may be stunningly good. Others (say anything brick and mortar based) may turn out to show utter disaster. For we’ve never had a “Holiday Shopping Season” during a pandemic induced lock-down situation like this – ever.

Wall Street is now going to look at every sector and have to calculate all with an entirely new lens and filter, for there is now no other scenario to adjust for other than a anti-business environment.

With the Democrat party now controlling all the levers of U.S. government, along with its self professed socialist ideals, regardless if one is for it or against – it is what it is. And there will now have to be adjustments made. Period.

When it comes to business, markets or finance, what many forget is the speed in which this “re-balancing” aspect I’m speaking to can take place. This is now a period of time for great change. And one has to be on one’s toes and attentive to every possibly where “market” weakness may be showing. The reason for this? Everyone is now convinced ever-the-more that these “markets” can no longer have bad days, never-mind bad weeks, months or years.

The idea that Elon Musk has become the “richest man in the world” surpassing Mr. Bezo’s on Thursday and adding to that fortune by 10’s of $Billions in just the over night hours (Tesla™ stock is up nearly another 5% to over $850 in the pre-market as I type) with a car company that produces less that 1% of market share, and – doesn’t make a profit other than selling regulatory government credits, is simply ludicrous on its face.

Tesla is closing in on becoming a 1TRILLION $Dollar market cap entity. And it can’t make money. It is now larger (in market capitalization) that all car makers combined that sell over 70 million vehicles a year at a profit, repeat, at a profit! At some point reality will set in, for it always does. It’s the “when” that’s the near impossible aspect to calculate.

To reiterate and clarify: It makes no difference whether you love or hate the new administration, love or saddened that the last one is gone. That part is now immaterial.

The only thing that matters now is: What are the coming ramifications and expectations that are going to need to be addressed from both a business prospective, as well as “markets?” For all prior assumptions or calculations are now null and void.

Stimulus checks have a “sugar rush” effect on “markets.” However, the only thing that will keep them aloft is, at some point, “meat and potato” expectation and deliverables.

But make no mistake…

The proverbial dust is now settling. And what awaits this new horizon will come into focus very soon.

Be alert.

© 2021 Mark St.Cyr

The McConnell Debacle: How The RINO’s Lost The Country

As the dust settles in Georgia following the senate runoff, only to be replaced with what may turn out to be nothing more than a tempest-in-a-tea-pot political exercise in Washington as the electoral college process unfolds [note: in regards to the political process, not the protest]. I would like to take this opportunity to breakdown, in simple terms, the genesis behind what many “republicans” are awakening to. i.e., No one in Georgia (relative term) turned out to save their (RINO) version of the republic. Or, said differently – Mitch McConnell’s “business as usual” resulting debacle.

You could see this coming not from just a mile away, but from Jupiter. And it all appeared with laser-light focus the day the Senate Majority Leader (soon to be ex) took to the media to proclaim his obstinance to increasing the $600 stimulus payment to $2000 with these words, and I quote:

“Borrowing from our grandkids to do socialism for rich people is a terrible way to get help to families who actually need it,” McConnell said.

Now, whether you are a republican, democrat, independent or whatever. The political calculus to make such a statement as both him and the entire RINO (republican in name only) class settled on a “stimulus” bill that was loaded with so much pork and giveaways that only the pig Napoleon of “Animal Farm” fame (George Orwell, 1945) would have endorsed such a debacle, was idiotic at best, maddening at worst.

Yet, both Mr. McConnell, and all that followed his lead, were hogging it up to the media to defend their actions. It was pure unadulterated hogwash and political swill that was insulting to even a political novice, which just so happens to be – 100% of the American populace that has been forced by government ordered shutdowns into unemployment status, or worse – bankruptcy.

But they are far from the only one’s that understood. And the results of precisely that were made manifest in Georgia.

Now let me be clear: although this is a political argument, I’m not arguing my point from a political bias. I only discuss politics from the standpoint of how any pending, proposed or current political legislation will effect businesses. exp: You may or may not like any political side or candidate, but much like the IRS, it doesn’t matter. It they declare you owe or don’t – can open or not – this new law now applies or not, it doesn’t matter. You either comply or close. Period.

And business, and just to clarify – any and all business, everywhere, is about to change in ways that will make the last 12 months look like a cakewalk. However, all that “how” is for another time. Let’s stay with both the why and more importantly – why it happened.

Regardless on what side of the political spectrum you reside, one thing has now become an incontrovertible fact: The United States of America’s three branches of government are now fully under the auspices of a socialist embracing political ideology, both willing and eager, to make all that implies into the law of the land, with no oppositional resources to even slow it, never-mind, stop it.

This political revelation was made not only possible, but just made manifest by Mr. McConnell and that other set of “barnyard animals” known as “RINOs” with their defiant clarion call for opposition to their prioritized prerogatives. Yet, it was also the silence of many of this same set that was deafening. To once again quote “Animal Farm…”

“Several of them would have protested if they could have found the right arguments.” 

~George Orwell, Animal Farm

Arguing to give taxpayers some of their money back to help them weather the forced political shutdowns? Not a peep. Arguing the splendor as to give said taxpayers dollars to foreign countries and interests? Anyone that was between a camera, microphone or keyboard was trampled much like their moniker (RINO) implies.

And that is all one needs to know.

Not only did McConnell and crew not have a clue about the possible ramifications – they didn’t care. And it showed. But what was far far worse in all this, was the argument now being made by this same cohort, that people needed to vote in Georgia to secure their power – or else.

Guess what was the argument that made the case against “or else?” Hint: there wasn’t one.

All people thought of was…

“Or else, what? More of what you’re (or not) giving me while you continue to argue why every other entity is more equal to my tax dollars that I am? And then you want me (relative term) to go out and vote all over again to solidify you with that power in what many feel are rigged circumstances? All as you call anyone that raises legitimate objections ‘conspiracy theorists?’ How bout this – F.U. I’m done. I might not fully be able to anticipate everything that may or may not happen next, but what I do know with full resolve is this: I’ll deal with whatever comes next, regardless of what it is, because the RINO way of political rule needs to go extinct.”

And as of this moment – That is political reality. Full stop.

RINOs will be lucky to even be allowed in legislative sessions going forward, never-mind voicing any opposition to anything. e.g., They’re now not only useless to the Republic, their only usefulness will be for their hides as trophies to clean the shoes of the new power structure that now replaces them. All done by their own hands, deservingly so.

Again, just to clarify, whether or not you were for the increase in the stimulus payment from $600 to $2000, doesn’t matter. It was in the manner and form that Mr. McConnell and the RINO wing declared their opposition and reasoning, all while defending all that pork (aka tax payer $dollars) to go to everyone and everywhere but to the people that provide it. (e.g., taxpayers.) All while they decried “Republicans need to vote in Georgia or else we lose the Senate, therfore the country!”

What the RINO class didn’t take into account was the now resulting fact of their actions…

Republicans in Georgia didn’t need to vote, once again, or they would lose their country.

The RINOs proved to them they already had.

© 2021 Mark St.Cyr

“Tis But A Scratch”

On December 30th 2020 I made the following statement to preface my 2021 prediction for Bitcoin™. To wit:

It’s quite laughable when anyone makes a prediction about the future these days, for it’s now become hard enough to predict what will happen today, never-mind tomorrow. Yet, with that stated, I would like to make one for 2021 that is diametrically opposed to what you are hearing the so-called “smart crowd” predict.

2021 Prediction: Bitcoin Dec 30, 2020

That was just this past Wednesday. And it would appear, with near immediacy, the “bitcoin gods” seemed to take exception with my malice and quickly rallied the digital siren to heights that even marveled the HODL (hold on for dear life) faithful. By Sunday afternoon it seemed I manned more inquiries from friends and colleagues (more like snickering, but that’s what friends and colleagues are for, right?) than the Treasury is from people looking for updates on their stimulus payment.

In that span Bitcoin was up some $5K (or ~15%) pushing the likes of $35K.

So, the obvious question many must now have (as did my inquiries): Have I changed my mind?

Answer: No. Absolutely not, here’s why…

As my title to this missive suggests (for those who are Monty Python fans, you already get it) it’s all part of the dance to facilitate the outlook. i.e., There are going to be battles, both up and down. But the winner is determined at the end. And since this is a year long stance – no matter what takes place from now till then – it aint over – till it’s over. And that is December 31, 2021. So every laceration to my thesis – no matter how life threatening it may be perceived, they’re all viewed as mere “flesh wounds.”

Remember, I also stated in my original thesis…

Now it’s very possible, as well as plausible, that Bitcoin may venture to go higher from here. But how much higher, I believe, won’t be anything matching all the expectations and pontifications currently being told or sold.

Now I’ll be the first to admit that $5K is nothing to sneeze at. However, what it is – is a far cry – from $250K+ the previous hucksters that are now back and, once again, calling for. Even some of the original $1MM+ hucksters are also slithering back from under rocks and regurgitating it all, once again.

Like all things, we shall see. But for those wondering if I had now changed my original thoughts. There you have it.

And for those of you that may not get the Monty Python reference or humor. Here’s the aforementioned scene of reference .


© 2021 Mark St.Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.

2021 Prediction: Bitcoin

It’s quite laughable when anyone makes a prediction about the future these days, for it’s now become hard enough to predict what will happen today, never-mind tomorrow. Yet, with that stated, I would like to make one for 2021 that is diametrically opposed to what you are hearing the so-called “smart crowd” predict.

So here it is…

I predict that we have just about seen the top in the so-called “crypto space.” I believe the lead stallion, none other than the daily flogged “Bitcoin™” has for all intents and purposes reached its apex. In other words – I think Bitcoin’s trajectory from here on out through 2021 will be a path lower. And maybe a path very, very, very (did I say very?) much lower. What evidence do I base this call you ask? Fair enough, for it is this. To wit:

(Image Source)

For those of you that are looking at the above and scratching your head thinking “Huh?” Let me help you. That’s a Twitter™ post from none other than NFL® star Russell Okung.

It is Mr. Okung’s desire (as well as advice to others) that his approximate $14Million compensation be paid in Bitcoin rather than $Dollars.

Now it’s very possible, as well as plausible, that Bitcoin may venture to go higher from here. But how much higher, I believe, won’t be anything matching all the expectations and pontifications currently being told or sold.

Will I be proven correct? I have no idea. All I will state is that I was one of the few (actually only one I know of to put a price target a year out, twice, and proved correct. i.e., All the so-called “experts” at $20K were calling for $200K+, some $1Million+.

I said its going to around $3K – and it did, twice. All on the record, all in the archives.

They say “Once is luck, twice is coincidence, and thrice shows you just might know what you’re taking about.” This would be my third-time’s-a charm if it did. Honestly, I truly could care less as I’ve explained many times on my show. But when I read the above? Well, that made me decide to make the call, let’s say.

But there is precedent for such, which I’d like to bring back to the discussion to jog a few memories.

Remember way back in November of 2007 this headline? To wit:

(Image Source)

For those that don’t recognize the name, that’s the world-renowned supermodel aka Tom Brady’s wife. Back in 2007 she was complaining about the value of the $Dollar vs €Euro. The €Euro, at that time, from a currency perspective, was what all the experts were calling “on fire!” only to go even higher, as the $Dollar (by all those same experts) was said to be going further “into the toilet.”

Guess what happened next? Hint: All the so-called “experts” were not only wrong, but the $Dollar began ascending and the €Euro went into the proverbial “toilet” where it remained ever since.

It’s been a running joke/punchline for more than a decade and counting.

I think it is quite possible that we are now in that very crux for a similar swing in Bitcoin. However, there is one very much larger companion issue to all this.

The swing in currencies back then was in direct proportion to what was the very nascent beginnings of what we now know as : The Great Financial Crisis.

God help us all if this marks another. Not saying it is – but always remember…

History may not repeat – but the rhyming can still leave quite the mark.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.


(For Those Who Say I Just Don’t Get it… Get this)

Before Thanksgiving and the ensuing holiday season, I expressed my deep-seated disgust with the so-called health expert known as “Dr. Fauci,” where I made the following commentary. To wit:

And since we’re on the idea of timing. Let’s not forget the good doctor that changes his prescription for Covid about as often as I change my socks. e.g., Dr. Fauci.

There was a time where one could argue that “When the facts changed, he changed.” as one would reasonably argue was a good trait in any doctor. But this guy has now moved into the outright political partizan hack. And as of this moment I don’t know if the good doctor himself shouldn’t be brought up on similar charges as I alluded to in the opening segments. The reason?

This man has all but single-handedly given aid and comfort to the ludicrous idea that the U.S. economy was his play toy to experiment on. i.e., Mask on, Mask off (Sung to the “Clap on, clap off!”® jingle) followed with “shut down, open up.” (sure, it can be sung that way to.)

But that’s not the insidious part.

It has now been reported as the same Dr. Fauci is just about trampling over anyone in the way of him mugging a camera, microphone or keyboard to tell everyone that even with a vaccine – we’re basically all going to have to be under “his” guidance indefinitely. i.e., Mask on, social distance, probably indefinitely.

But take comfort in the idea as to forget about any of the economic pain – for when it’s completely dead under this man’s guidance – then we can all be happy together in poverty.

“A Treacherous Celebration Trend” Nov 15, 2020

What seemed to get the ire of many was that I dared to use the term “political partizan hack.” It was this that seemed, for many, “an accusation too far.” It was thrown back at me in much the manner as if I had insulted someone’s mother. e.g., “How dare you! He’s a doctor!! Do you have a medical degree, huh, do ya?!!”

I stood by my statement to the slings and arrows of “Fauci Fanatics” everywhere.

And then this happened via the New York Times™. Again, to wit:

[first this…highlights mine]

“In a telephone interview the next day, Dr. Fauci acknowledged that he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and partly on his gut feeling that the country is finally ready to hear what he really thinks.”

[and then this…again, highlights mine]

Now that some polls are showing that many more Americans are ready, even eager, for vaccines, he said he felt he could deliver the tough message that the return to normal might take longer than anticipated.”

When polls said only about half of all Americans would take a vaccine, I was saying herd immunity would take 70 to 75 percent,” Dr. Fauci said. “Then, when newer surveys said 60 percent or more would take it, I thought, ‘I can nudge this up a bit,’ so I went to 80, 85.

“How Much Herd Immunity Is Enough?” NYT 12/24/2020

Please tell me WTF “polls” are doing in the science of said doctor’s prescription methods?

Only one type of person concerns their prognosis with polls and they’re called “political partizan hacks,” because they don’t actually run for public office, they serve at the behest of one. If they did – there would be no reason for the qualifier of “hack.”

As far as “partizan” is concerned? Just read the entire article I wrote, originally. It tells you all one needs to know and more importantly – should have known, as I did. But, because he has a “medical degree,” no one dared question him.

However, as I state repeatedly: I have a BS meter that is second to none. And this guy has been spewing more BS than my olfactory senses can handle.

What a disgrace of a medical degree. Where’s the application of the Hippocratic Oath being applied to the entire U.S. economy following this charlatan’s prescriptive recommendations?

Hint – there wasn’t one, just read above for proof.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Proving The Laughable

Over the last few years (ad nauseam of late) I’ve made it perfectly clear that the adulteration, perversion and more of central bank largess into the once bastion of free market capital formation known as “Wall Street” will prove itself out, morphing from “The silent hand behind the curtain” into “Not only will they no longer care if you see – they’ll announce and televise it!”

Yesterday was another of these “moments” proving my point.

Yes, “another” is the correct term, for may I remind you just this past November when the “markets” were about to cross the equivalent of a Maginot Line known as “turning 2020 negative for the year” when Mr. Powell took to the nearest camera, microphone and keyboard (probably trampling women and small children in the process) to declare (paraphrasing) “Don’t worry boys, remember, the Fed’s got your back so buy, Buy, BUY!!!” And they did. Or, said differently “Mission accomplished.”

Which brings us to yesterday e.g., Monday.

The digital ink on my latest wasn’t even dry when it appeared said “markets” may be showing a real sign of weakness. As I iterated in that missive, it appeared, last week, for the 46,365th time (and counting) the highest paying and most probable of all probabilities for today’s Riverboat Gamblers known as “modern day traders and investors” was to not only “let it ride!” but to add leverage and more, because betting against 99.9999999 odds of probability, day after day, week after week – is the only way to play. Anything else is for “loooooooo-zerrrrrrs!”

And who can blame them? Because right before the “market” opened none other than one of the most powerful people on the planet, for just like Mr. Powell, he too has a printing press for a little thing known as “Treasuries,” Mr. Mnuchin, once again (i.e., need I remind you of the now immortalized “Call from Cabo” on Christmas Eve?) put out the all important “Don’t panic signal!” stating he would soon sooth-and-swoon the “markets” back into its “champagne bottles on ice” stupor.

Below is an updated chart of my prior noting said commentary. The reason why this is so laughable to me is the fact that from a technical analysis viewpoint: The breaking out of that channel in both size and scope relative to what else was going on (i.e., smaller stimulus than expected e.g., $900B vs prior $1.8T etc., etc.) was a clear indication that the probable odds of not only further downside, but much further downside was very high. Let’s just say: 99.99999% odds in favor of such for “sh#ts and giggles” purposes as we used to say back home.

Again, to highlight my meaning here, that would mean the odds of a sudden and abrupt reversal out of nowhere had the odds of .00001% probability of happening.

And what happened? Why, what else could? To wit:


(Image Source)


(Chart Source)

Folks – you just can’t make this stuff up. It’s all fantasy-land on steroids. Pure and simple. Or, as I also like to say…

“It is what it is – till it aint.”

If you’re one of those “Making bank” on all this lunacy? Good for you. Personally, I believe it a ruinous path to think one can outplay a rigged game, for at some point…

The “game” as does all rigged shams, will not only turn and ruin all players at the worst conceivable time, but will also turn against – even ruining – the riggers.

What a farce.

© 2020 Mark St.Cyr

Note: This is not trading or investing advice of any sort. This commentary is for “big picture” discussion purposes only. Please read, or re-read the “About This Site” page for any questions or clarifications.