Under the Power and Influence of Moore’s Law

Power and influence is usually attributed to the stature of people in various positions, or occupations. Today it seems that one of the most compelling and far-reaching life changing influence is not coming from any so-called “Power Player” it’s coming from a very simple formula that has become so powerful, it’s changing everything…again. Welcome to Moore’s Law in real-time.

I need not remind anyone on how the world has changed in just a few years, however putting it into perspective is what I do, so here goes.

Just a little more that 15 years ago in what was also considered spam-mail were the millions upon millions of little cd’s you found in your mailbox from….AOL. Remember when “You got mail” was all the rage? How about this one…an iPod was just becoming in vogue way back in 2004…yep, that’s just 6 years ago. I could go on but you catch my drift. We take these things for granted now, but they weren’t even understood let alone conceived just a mere few years ago. And guess what? It’s getting much,much,much faster.

Look around you. Look at your children, your neighbors, people in cars, people you work with. Everywhere you turn you see it. Instant video, instant communication, instant TV, instant quotes on anything, now it’s all taken for granted. If you have to wait for a video to load more than 2 seconds, you have to hold yourself back from throwing the hand-held device into the garbage, and walking 30 feet into the new gadget store to get the newest 4G, 5G, 6Z…who knows how fast is next?

My own case study happened this weekend while setting up a new computer my wife gave me for Christmas. As I was moving things around I came across the paperwork of the one it was replacing, it was only a few years old, but needed repairing and wasn’t worth it. The new computer is…ready? 10 times the speed, 8 times the memory, less than 1/4 the size, and……….less than 1/2 the cost of the first.

I know, I know, you’re all saying…”Right..big deal…everybody knows that” but that’s where it gets interesting. Everybody knows…but few understand the implications. Just imagine the mobile phone that you have today, even if it’s the latest and greatest. In just a little over 2 years it will be 10 times faster, and smarter, and probably able to do that in less than 1/2 the current size. The numbers are just staggering at the levels we are now at.

Industry, business, people, and just about everything else will change even more rapidly in the next 5 years than they have in the last 20. Just a fantastic time to be alive is all I can say.

Maybe the flying car thing isn’t that crazy after all.


Don’t be Confused be Dazzled

Feeling a tad confused lately? Don’t be confused, be dazzled should be the mantra that describes the year 2010. All and all it has been breath-taking to view. I have always been fascinated with the sleight of hand, or the artful misdirection plays. The team of Penn & Teller is one of my absolute favorites. One of the reasons I find them so fascinating is right before they perform the trick or immediately after, they show you in stunning detail just how the illusion is created, and yet it loses none of its magic.

If I were to tell you about a performance I witnessed and I want you to see it also, I might start out something like this…It opens with a scene showing  2 short years ago the wheels coming off the economy, and there is a terrible crash in the stock market rivaling the plunge of 1929. It also shows the value of people’s homes  in some places dropping 50% or more, some  losing fortunes, retirement accounts being devastated, and unemployment would be almost double and moving higher. When might you feel you’ve heard enough? What if I  also said, but wait there’s more….much more, we’re not even at the good part. The most interesting and dazzling part of this will be how we “recover” from it. It’s a show that can’t be missed, here’s a few of the highlights.

First…What they did was state over and over again we need to cut back on spending, but then they spent double and doubled that…it was fantastic.

Second…Just when you thought employment was a measure of the economy, they turned it around and stated publicly that Unemployment benefits were the way to grow the economy…that was amazing to behold.

Third…I thought the Fed buying Treasuries was the equivalent of monetizing the debt, or printing money. How foolish I was on that one. I obviously forgot what the meaning of  “is” is. There was a standing ovation on that one.

Fourth…The European Union is beginning to unravel once again, N.Korea has sunk a S.Korean naval ship, fired missiles  killing and destroying a fishing village prompting the US to place an aircraft carrier group along with the S.Korean navy to perform war drills off the coast of China who protests, and they’re our banker now. Just stunning in every detail, well worth the price of admission alone.

I can’t tell you everything about the show, you have to actually see it for yourself. It’s one thing for me to try to explain, but if you really want to get the “Full Monty” just look with open eyes and an open mind. You won’t be disappointed.

Oh I almost forgot one of the best parts, towards the finish, they were able to raise the stock market back to levels not seen since before the crash of 2008! It’s a balancing and high wire act that rivals anything Cirque du Soleil has to offer, I mean I’m talking spectacular, but I don’t want to ruin the show for you, see it for yourself and be dazzled.

I don’t want to be a spoiler and tell you how this performance ends.


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